Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | HC +270 SIE -8500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -3.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -5.8 (+1.8) | 131.2 (+10.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.2 (-0.8) | 133.5 (+8.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.0 (-1.0) | 133.7 (+8.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -4.4 (+0.4) | 132.1 (+9.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | HC 78 – 70 SIE |
| Nov 7, 2023 | SIE 73 – 71 HC |
| Nov 8, 2022 | SIE 75 – 68 HC |
| Dec 11, 2021 | SIE 72 – 59 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#316) | 0.7 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#304) | -0.93 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#315) | -1.27 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#323) | 0.445 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 41.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.