Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HARV +130 FUR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +14 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -3.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -4.1 (-9.9) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.6 (-10.4) | 133.1 (+6.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -3.3 (-10.7) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -4.7 (-9.3) | 131.7 (+8.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | FUR 79 – 69 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#265) | 2.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#299) | 2.81 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#281) | 2.96 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#297) | 0.606 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.