Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -145 DEL +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -5.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -4.6 (+3.4) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -3.2 (+4.8) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -3.0 (+5.0) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -4.4 (+3.6) | 143.9 (-7.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | DEL 81 – 70 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | -3.8 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#260) | -0.71 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#256) | -0.92 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#284) | 0.441 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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