Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -195 SPU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -11.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -4.4 (+6.6) | 134.2 (+16.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -5.3 (+5.7) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -5.8 (+5.2) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -5.6 (+5.4) | 138.6 (+12.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | SPU 72 – 64 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#187) | -4.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#272) | -0.65 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#274) | -1.00 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#349) | 0.432 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 56.3% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 44.4% |
Game Analysis
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