Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 174.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -20000 UNF +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +54 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -20.7 (+33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.4 (-32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -22.9 (+31.1) | 157.5 (-13.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -20.6 (+33.4) | 164.1 (-20.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -21.6 (+32.4) | 163.2 (-19.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -23.6 (+30.4) | 164.4 (-20.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | FLA 104 – 64 UNF |
| Dec 9, 2021 | FLA 85 – 55 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W12 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 85.7 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#10) | 1.3 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.60 (#1) | 0.55 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.39 (#2) | 0.31 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#6) | 0.549 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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