Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | IU -1400 UTC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | IU -17.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -15.9 (-6.9) | 150.7 (-11.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -16.0 (-7.0) | 151.2 (-12.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -15.4 (-6.4) | 151.1 (-12.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -13.5 (-4.5) | 150.9 (-11.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#60) | -3.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#71) | -0.16 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#66) | -0.30 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#49) | 0.469 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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