Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -125 UTAH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +7 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -0.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -5.6 (+1.4) | 157.6 (+25.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -4.1 (+2.9) | 154.4 (+28.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -2.2 (+4.8) | 156.5 (+26.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -2.3 (+4.7) | 157.7 (+25.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 25, 2024 | UTAH 91 – 82 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#45) | 12.3 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#57) | 1.06 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#47) | 1.68 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#85) | 0.497 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.98 | 1.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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