Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -213 IOWA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -4.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -5.7 (+3.3) | 161.7 (+11.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -5.6 (+3.4) | 160.1 (+12.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -5.2 (+3.8) | 160.6 (+12.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -5.0 (+4.0) | 159.5 (+13.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | IOWA 95 – 88 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#35) | 11.0 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#70) | 1.63 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#67) | 2.07 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#74) | 0.545 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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