Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -380 SFPA +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -9.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -7.8 (+5.2) | 140.9 (+26.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -6.8 (+6.2) | 141.1 (+25.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -7.0 (+6.0) | 142.5 (+24.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -6.7 (+6.3) | 140.7 (+26.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | RMU 79 – 70 SFPA |
| Dec 21, 2023 | RMU 75 – 73 SFPA |
| Dec 22, 2022 | RMU 77 – 66 SFPA |
| Dec 23, 2021 | RMU 75 – 67 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#237) | -8.9 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#202) | -0.80 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#214) | -1.27 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#236) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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