Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SFPA -250 RMU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SFPA -11.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -10.6 (-18.6) | 152.0 (-10.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -9.6 (-17.6) | 149.4 (-7.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -10.3 (-18.3) | 153.3 (-11.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -11.5 (-19.5) | 153.9 (-11.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | RMU 79 – 70 SFPA |
| Dec 21, 2024 | RMU 90 – 77 SFPA |
| Dec 21, 2023 | RMU 75 – 73 SFPA |
| Dec 22, 2022 | RMU 77 – 66 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-16 |
| Home | 4-8 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#249) | -11.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#263) | -4.18 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#263) | -5.83 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#259) | 0.376 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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