Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -350 SFPA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -15.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -10.9 (+0.1) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -13.1 (-2.1) | 141.1 (+1.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -12.9 (-1.9) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -12.2 (-1.2) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | RMU 79 – 70 SFPA |
| Dec 21, 2024 | RMU 90 – 77 SFPA |
| Dec 21, 2023 | RMU 75 – 73 SFPA |
| Dec 23, 2021 | RMU 75 – 67 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -11.4 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#264) | -2.94 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#209) | -3.70 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#280) | 0.406 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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