Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | SFPA +170 RMU -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -2.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -2.3 (+0.3) | 133.4 (+14.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -0.6 (-1.4) | 133.8 (+14.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -0.0 (-2.0) | 133.7 (+14.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -0.6 (-1.4) | 133.2 (+14.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | RMU 79 – 70 SFPA |
| Dec 21, 2024 | RMU 90 – 77 SFPA |
| Dec 22, 2022 | RMU 77 – 66 SFPA |
| Dec 23, 2021 | RMU 75 – 67 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#340) | -5.2 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#336) | -2.06 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.24 (#349) | -2.37 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#348) | 0.402 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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