We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–7 on winners spread MAE 8.1 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Akron @ Jackson State -5.9 145.7 27% 68–50 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Elon +5.0 131.8 69% 69–73 ✓
Kansas State @ Wichita State +2.5 148.8 61% 65–84 ✓
Oregon @ Stanford -5.7 146.6 30% 76–61 ✓
Bucknell @ Gonzaga +24.2 154.7 91% 65–86 ✓
Yale @ UTEP +2.6 143.5 59% 74–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ Omaha -0.6 156.1 44% 82–86 ✗
UC San Diego @ San Diego -11.0 138.5 15% 77–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ Weber State +1.2 137.5 51% 64–62 ✗
Portland State @ Cal State Bakersfield +5.1 147.1 69% 59–58 ✗
San Diego State @ California -3.8 147.1 36% 71–50 ✓
Kennesaw State @ San José State +4.0 147.7 64% 65–89 ✓
Illinois State @ Cornell +7.4 153.8 76% 80–77 ✗
Morgan State @ Iowa State +26.0 162.0 91% 72–99 ✓
Kent State @ Alabama +15.7 146.1 87% 54–81 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +22.9 150.2 91% 66–89 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Michigan +14.2 158.2 88% 58–89 ✓
New Hampshire @ Stonehill +10.7 136.3 86% 83–90 ✓
Bryant @ Towson +0.1 141.7 50% 65–70 ✓
Binghamton @ Army +4.9 146.4 68% 78–68 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Miami (OH) +5.4 141.5 71% 76–94 ✓
Illinois @ Missouri -0.7 149.8 47% 80–77 ✓
Iona @ Colgate +4.3 135.8 65% 79–73 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Missouri State +2.0 140.1 58% 56–68 ✓
Pennsylvania @ George Mason +18.9 133.6 90% 53–85 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wisconsin +21.6 149.1 90% 53–76 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina +11.6 138.9 83% 48–74 ✓
Mercyhurst @ West Virginia +24.2 138.0 91% 46–67 ✓
Montana State @ TCU +8.5 137.6 77% 48–82 ✓
American University @ Virginia +11.0 127.7 85% 58–63 ✓
William & Mary @ VCU +16.3 151.0 88% 70–90 ✓
Brown @ Kansas +19.6 143.2 89% 53–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Rice +13.9 154.3 88% 46–64 ✓
Alcorn State @ UAB +14.7 151.1 88% 74–91 ✓
McNeese @ Louisiana -8.0 136.3 19% 64–56 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +13.5 149.0 88% 74–86 ✓
Oregon State @ Charleston -6.4 138.0 24% 74–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ North Texas +17.9 130.9 89% 46–62 ✓
New Orleans @ LSU +23.6 149.6 91% 70–86 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia +23.9 145.2 91% 65–81 ✓
Grambling @ Cincinnati +22.0 133.5 90% 49–84 ✓
Southern @ USC +12.8 141.2 86% 51–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Grand Canyon +8.8 149.9 81% 72–73 ✓
Rider @ NC State +15.3 133.9 87% 63–89 ✓
Wyoming @ Cal State Fullerton -1.4 132.6 43% 73–69 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Oakland -3.1 132.4 37% 71–72 ✗
Le Moyne @ Notre Dame +14.6 144.6 88% 62–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.