Charleston
Cougars
65
–
74
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Oregon State
Beavers
Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | COFC +250 ORST -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -12.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -7.7 (-1.3) | 137.6 (+1.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -6.5 (-2.5) | 137.6 (+1.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -6.4 (-2.6) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -6.8 (-2.2) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#148) | 12.7 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#64) | 1.59 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#81) | 2.45 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#38) | 0.541 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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