Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +105 CP -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +4 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | CP -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -1.6 (+2.4) | 154.0 (+14.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -0.5 (+4.5) | 153.3 (+14.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -0.6 (+4.6) | 156.1 (+11.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -0.5 (+3.5) | 154.8 (+13.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | CP 66 – 53 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 83.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#289) | -1.4 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#314) | 0.01 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#313) | -0.31 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#325) | 0.501 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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