Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | CP -105 OMA -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CP -0.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -1.8 (+11.2) | 137.4 (-18.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -2.4 (+10.6) | 136.5 (-17.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.2 (+10.8) | 137.9 (-18.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -1.2 (+11.8) | 135.3 (-16.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | OMA 86 – 82 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-16 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#315) | -4.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#265) | -1.45 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#290) | -1.64 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#320) | 0.423 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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