I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Icardo Center · December 22, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CSUB -4.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money CSUB -195 / PRST +165
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUB win
Actual PRST +1 117 Lost
Massey CSUB -7.9 (-8.9)
Massey Totals 154.8 (-37.8)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 72%
Baseline Plus ML CSUB -5.0 (-6.0) 146.9 (-29.9) 69%
Model 4 ML CSUB -5.6 (-6.6) 142.2 (-25.2) 61%
Model 3 ML CSUB -5.1 (-6.1) 147.1 (-30.1) 69%
Baseline ML CSUB -5.5 (-6.5) 147.9 (-30.9) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2025 PRST 9380 CSUB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUB PRST
Overall 14-19 19-13
Conference 8-12 11-7
Home 9-6 13-1
Away 4-11 5-10
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 71.8
Avg Pts Against 75.2 70.9
Massey -1.3 (#175) -5.0 (#255)
Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#195) -0.70 (#231)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.43 (#198) -0.49 (#202)
RPI 0.495 (#178) 0.437 (#286)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUB PRST
FG% 44.2% 44.9%
3PT% 39.3% 31.7%
REB / G 35.9 34.9
OREB / G 12.3 12.9
AST / TO 0.72 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 50.3%
TOV% 19.4% 17.6%
ORB% 36.3% 34.6%
FT Rate 22.4% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 18.9%
DRB% 73.1% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 36.7% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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