Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -425 CSUB +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -12.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -6.1 (+6.9) | 141.8 (+31.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | PRST -6.0 (+7.0) | 139.4 (+33.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PRST -6.4 (+6.6) | 140.2 (+32.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -6.8 (+6.2) | 140.4 (+32.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | PRST 59 – 58 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 83.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#162) | -3.8 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#274) | -0.82 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#286) | -1.46 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#262) | 0.462 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 58.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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