This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Charles Koch Arena · December 22, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WICH +110 / KSU -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual WICH +19 149 Won
Massey WICH -1.3 (+17.7)
Massey Totals 156.1 (-7.1)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 57%
Baseline Plus ML WICH -2.2 (+16.8) 153.0 (-4.0) 59%
Baseline ML WICH -2.2 (+16.8) 150.2 (-1.2) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -2.5 (+16.5) 148.8 (+0.2) 61%
Efficiency Plus ML KSU -0.4 (+19.4) 152.4 (-3.4) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2023 KSU 6960 WICH
Dec 4, 2022 KSU 5550 WICH
Dec 5, 2021 KSU 6559 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH KSU
Overall 19-15 16-17
Conference 8-10 9-11
Home 11-6 10-5
Away 5-7 3-9
Neutral 3-2 3-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.6 70.8
Avg Pts Against 73.1 69.6
Massey 2.1 (#128) 5.1 (#96)
Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#94) 1.09 (#90)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.16 (#101) 1.75 (#82)
RPI 0.549 (#97) 0.555 (#88)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH KSU
FG% 44.9% 47.4%
3PT% 30.2% 37.2%
REB / G 37.5 35.3
OREB / G 9.2 11.5
AST / TO 1.27 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 55.2%
TOV% 14.0% 17.8%
ORB% 25.4% 34.1%
FT Rate 28.4% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 20.4%
DRB% 70.4% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 15.2% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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