Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -550 SLU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -9.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -8.8 (-7.8) | 149.9 (-4.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -10.0 (-9.0) | 149.1 (-4.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -8.2 (-7.2) | 150.3 (-5.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -8.1 (-7.1) | 149.6 (-4.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | SLU 78 – 64 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#126) | -3.2 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#111) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#121) | -0.22 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#84) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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