Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -28.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +23 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -25.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -23.2 (-0.2) | 151.3 (-22.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -22.8 (+0.2) | 149.4 (-20.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -21.6 (+1.4) | 149.1 (-20.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -22.7 (+0.3) | 151.8 (-22.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#39) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#32) | -0.76 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#23) | -1.52 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#23) | 0.482 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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