Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | KU -50000 BRWN +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +34 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | KU -19.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -19.7 (+14.3) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -19.8 (+14.2) | 142.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -19.6 (+14.4) | 143.2 (-3.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -18.5 (+15.5) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#24) | 0.2 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#12) | 0.31 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#22) | 0.34 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.693 (#3) | 0.480 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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