Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -170 IONA +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -7.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.2 (-11.2) | 134.0 (+18.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.6 (-10.6) | 135.7 (+16.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -4.3 (-10.3) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -4.4 (-10.4) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | IONA 85 – 65 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#266) | -8.4 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#291) | -1.29 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#271) | -1.69 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#289) | 0.430 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 16.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 41.1% |
| FT Rate | 11.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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