Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -110 COLG +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -0.4 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.7 (+18.3) | 134.1 (+15.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -1.1 (+18.9) | 133.8 (+16.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -0.9 (+19.1) | 132.6 (+17.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.9 (+18.1) | 132.7 (+17.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | IONA 79 – 73 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#206) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#256) | 0.99 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#234) | 0.92 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#251) | 0.552 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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