Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -28.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -100000 CHSO +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -27.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -27.1 (-11.1) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -26.2 (-10.2) | 144.8 (+1.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -23.9 (-7.9) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -24.0 (-8.0) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#23) | -7.9 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#19) | -1.69 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#18) | -2.28 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#37) | 0.420 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 40.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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