Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -7500 PFW +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +31 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -16.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -14.9 (+16.1) | 156.3 (-9.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -13.7 (+17.3) | 159.5 (-12.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -14.2 (+16.8) | 158.2 (-11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -13.2 (+17.8) | 152.5 (-5.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2022 | MICH 75 – 56 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#26) | 2.9 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#49) | 0.68 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#33) | 0.92 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#24) | 0.538 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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