Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF +155 WYO -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -3.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -4.4 (+0.4) | 130.9 (+11.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.4 (-2.6) | 132.6 (+9.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -0.9 (-3.1) | 133.4 (+8.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -2.5 (-1.5) | 131.8 (+10.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | WYO 92 – 82 CSUF |
| Nov 30, 2021 | WYO 79 – 66 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 5-15 |
| Home | 4-11 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L12 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#290) | 0.2 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#277) | -0.70 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#293) | -0.86 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#255) | 0.466 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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