Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | COR -240 ILST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -7.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -7.4 (-10.4) | 154.5 (+2.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -7.4 (-10.4) | 153.8 (+3.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -6.7 (-9.7) | 153.7 (+3.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -7.0 (-10.0) | 154.2 (+2.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | ILST 76 – 65 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#103) | 0.5 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#101) | -0.06 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#126) | 0.21 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#101) | 0.487 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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