Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -290 COR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -15.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -5.4 (+5.6) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -7.6 (+3.4) | 143.6 (-2.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -8.2 (+2.8) | 144.9 (-3.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ILST 80 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 84.6 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#151) | -0.1 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#307) | -0.93 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#310) | -1.45 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.000 (#238) | 0.250 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 52.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 47.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 67.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 9.7% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.3% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 84.4% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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