Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -20000 HCU +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +16 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -21.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -19.9 (-3.9) | 124.4 (-16.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -17.9 (-1.9) | 130.9 (-22.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -20.9 (-4.9) | 129.8 (-21.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -20.4 (-4.4) | 125.9 (-17.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | UNT 77 – 75 HCU |
| Dec 18, 2020 | UNT 85 – 55 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#82) | -10.4 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#78) | -2.09 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#80) | -2.52 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#67) | 0.414 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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