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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgetown
@
Seton Hall
|
-5.8 | 127.8 | 27% | 61–60 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Loyola Marymount
|
+2.0 | 138.9 | 58% | 69–85 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Saint Mary's
|
+2.6 | 141.5 | 57% | 75–68 | ✗ |
Nebraska
@
Murray State
|
-3.6 | 139.3 | 39% | 66–49 | ✓ |
Charlotte
@
Hawai'i
|
+5.2 | 139.8 | 69% | 61–78 | ✓ |
Charleston
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+0.4 | 143.0 | 56% | 77–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.