I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Gersten Pavilion · December 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LMU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money LMU -290 / UNA +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total LMU win
Actual LMU +16 154 Won
Massey UNA -0.5 (+16.5)
Massey Totals 141.0 (+13.0)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 79%
Efficiency Plus ML LMU -2.9 (+13.1) 140.6 (+13.4) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML LMU -2.0 (+14.0) 138.9 (+15.1) 58%
Baseline ML LMU -1.9 (+14.1) 138.2 (+15.8) 62%
Baseline Plus ML LMU -1.9 (+14.1) 139.4 (+14.6) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 20, 2025 LMU 9157 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LMU UNA
Overall 17-15 24-11
Conference 8-10 14-4
Home 11-6 16-1
Away 3-8 7-10
Neutral 3-1 1-0
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.3 77.5
Avg Pts Against 72.1 71.0
Massey -2.6 (#209) 2.1 (#126)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#142) -0.06 (#176)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#140) -0.02 (#167)
RPI 0.507 (#164) 0.484 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors LMU UNA
FG% 41.8% 45.2%
3PT% 33.5% 33.3%
REB / G 35.4 33.4
OREB / G 9.3 10.3
AST / TO 1.16 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.2% 51.4%
TOV% 16.4% 13.9%
ORB% 25.5% 28.7%
FT Rate 18.4% 17.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 20.3%
DRB% 71.7% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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