Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -600 UNA +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +34 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -10.8 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -7.5 (+26.5) | 135.4 (+12.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -7.8 (+26.2) | 132.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -8.6 (+25.4) | 132.5 (+15.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -8.5 (+25.5) | 133.6 (+14.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2024 | LMU 85 – 69 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#149) | -5.3 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#134) | -0.73 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#135) | -1.43 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#155) | 0.444 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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