Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HALL +105 GTWN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | GTWN -5.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -5.8 (+4.8) | 129.7 (-8.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GTWN -1.4 (+0.4) | 126.5 (-5.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GTWN -5.8 (+4.8) | 127.8 (-6.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -5.0 (+4.0) | 129.3 (-8.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HALL 51 – 47 GTWN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HALL 76 – 67 GTWN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | GTWN 60 – 46 HALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | HALL 76 – 70 GTWN |
| Jan 9, 2024 | HALL 74 – 70 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-11 | 14-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#175) | 8.0 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#215) | 1.40 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#220) | 1.59 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#218) | 0.571 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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