Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -125 YALE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -0.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -1.6 (-0.6) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -2.5 (-1.5) | 143.4 (+5.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.6 (-1.6) | 143.5 (+5.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -0.8 (+1.8) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-1 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#144) | 5.8 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#142) | 0.07 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#157) | 0.11 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#186) | 0.527 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.5% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.