Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -340 SHU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +18 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -6.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -5.6 (+12.4) | 142.2 (+27.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -5.2 (+12.8) | 141.8 (+28.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -5.4 (+12.6) | 141.5 (+28.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -5.2 (+12.8) | 141.7 (+28.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#207) | -4.3 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#173) | -0.81 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#183) | -0.93 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#206) | 0.439 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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