Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -100000 MERC +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +21 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -30.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -21.1 (-0.1) | 137.4 (-24.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -24.2 (-3.2) | 138.0 (-25.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -27.4 (-6.4) | 139.7 (-26.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -25.9 (-4.9) | 138.0 (-25.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | WVU 70 – 38 MERC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#27) | -11.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#33) | -1.89 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#32) | -2.73 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#32) | 0.430 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 25.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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