Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -8000 MERC +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +32 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -12.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -16.0 (+16.0) | 130.2 (-22.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -10.2 (+21.8) | 128.3 (-20.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -11.3 (+20.7) | 128.6 (-20.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -10.8 (+21.2) | 130.5 (-22.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | WVU 67 – 46 MERC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#115) | -3.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#166) | -0.65 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#150) | -1.14 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#153) | 0.463 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 43.5% |
Game Analysis
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