Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -6000 KENT +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +27 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -18.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -15.7 (+11.3) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -16.2 (+10.8) | 145.4 (-10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -15.7 (+11.3) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -17.7 (+9.3) | 147.5 (-12.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#14) | 3.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#11) | 1.79 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#11) | 2.05 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.683 (#5) | 0.574 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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