Massachusetts
Minutemen
62
–
78
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Classic
Arizona State
Sun Devils
Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +360 ASU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -14.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -9.1 (-6.9) | 149.4 (-9.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -9.7 (-6.3) | 147.7 (-7.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -10.7 (-5.3) | 147.8 (-7.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -6.8 (-9.2) | 149.2 (-9.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#234) | 10.1 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#255) | 2.99 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#238) | 4.07 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#257) | 0.654 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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