We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Detrick Gymnasium · December 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CCSU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money CCSU -140 / QUIN +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCSU win
Actual CCSU +4 164 Won
Massey CCSU -9.9 (-5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 129.7 (+34.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CCSU -9.2 (-5.2) 135.6 (+28.4) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCSU -5.6 (-1.6) 137.0 (+27.0) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CCSU -8.3 (-4.3) 133.8 (+30.2) 79% ✓
Baseline ML CCSU -8.4 (-4.4) 134.4 (+29.6) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2025 QUIN 71 – 49 CCSU
Nov 10, 2023 QUIN 74 – 70 CCSU
Nov 13, 2022 QUIN 72 – 70 CCSU
Nov 20, 2021 QUIN 76 – 65 CCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCSU QUIN
Overall 25-7 20-13
Conference 14-2 15-5
Home 13-3 12-2
Away 12-3 7-10
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 74.0
Avg Pts Against 63.1 72.2
Massey -0.3 (#165) -5.9 (#276)
Bradley-Terry 0.99 (#97) -0.62 (#229)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#136) -0.93 (#234)
RPI 0.583 (#53) 0.461 (#252)
Shooting & Four Factors CCSU QUIN
FG% 44.4% 41.0%
3PT% 29.6% 25.5%
REB / G 33.6 35.7
OREB / G 8.6 11.7
AST / TO 1.07 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 46.1%
TOV% 17.9% 17.1%
ORB% 25.7% 31.3%
FT Rate 15.8% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 18.7%
DRB% 73.5% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 14.6% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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