Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
M&T Bank Arena · November 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -13.0 Away covered
O/U 143.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +11 141 Won
Massey QUIN -20.5 (-9.5)
Massey Totals 141.1 (-0.1)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -11.3 (-0.3) 140.9 (+0.1) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -12.7 (-1.7) 142.3 (-1.3) 88%
Baseline ML QUIN -13.2 (-2.2) 142.5 (-1.5) 89%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -13.4 (-2.4) 141.1 (-0.1) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2025 QUIN 7149 CCSU
Dec 21, 2024 CCSU 8480 QUIN
Nov 10, 2023 QUIN 7470 CCSU
Nov 13, 2022 QUIN 7270 CCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CCSU
Overall 14-17 8-24
Conference 7-13 5-13
Home 8-7 5-7
Away 4-9 4-15
Neutral 2-1 0-2
Last 5 1-1 0-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 61.8
Avg Pts Against 72.1 72.1
Massey -3.8 (#255) -15.5 (#352)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#180) -2.12 (#335)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#175) -3.24 (#333)
RPI 0.446 (#245) 0.370 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CCSU
FG% 42.9% 38.2%
3PT% 37.3% 35.7%
REB / G 33.0 30.0
OREB / G 7.5 9.2
AST / TO 1.35 0.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 45.3%
TOV% 17.4% 26.2%
ORB% 20.5% 26.2%
FT Rate 17.6% 14.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 58.8%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 17.4%
DRB% 70.8% 64.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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