I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Detrick Gymnasium · November 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -7.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money CCSU +240 / QUIN -333
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCSU win
Actual QUIN +2 142 Lost
Massey QUIN -5.9 (+3.9)
Massey Totals 164.4 (-22.4)
Bradley-Terry 13%
Weighted B-T 3%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -6.7 (+4.7) 156.9 (-14.9) 22%
Baseline ML QUIN -7.6 (+5.6) 158.3 (-16.3) 20%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -8.8 (+6.8) 154.6 (-12.6) 26%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2025 QUIN 7149 CCSU
Dec 21, 2024 CCSU 8480 QUIN
Nov 10, 2023 QUIN 7470 CCSU
Nov 20, 2021 QUIN 7665 CCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCSU QUIN
Overall 10-22 20-12
Conference 7-9 11-9
Home 6-7 9-4
Away 4-14 9-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 0-1 2-0
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 72.5
Avg Pts Against 70.2 69.8
Massey -9.5 (#329) 8.2 (#31)
Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#302) 3.19 (#1)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.80 (#314) 4.55 (#1)
RPI 0.250 (#232) 0.562 (#85)
Shooting & Four Factors CCSU QUIN
FG% 40.9% 46.5%
3PT% 31.0% 42.9%
REB / G 29.0 41.5
OREB / G 9.0 16.0
AST / TO 1.15 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 54.7%
TOV% 17.8% 18.3%
ORB% 22.0% 39.5%
FT Rate 6.1% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.9% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 20.2%
DRB% 55.6% 64.6%
Opp FT Rate 12.7% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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