Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +46 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -26.7 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -27.6 (+18.4) | 147.9 (+12.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -25.6 (+20.4) | 149.0 (+11.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -22.5 (+23.5) | 149.0 (+11.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -27.2 (+18.8) | 149.5 (+10.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#44) | -10.4 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#68) | -0.42 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#77) | -0.70 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#80) | 0.519 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 81.5% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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