Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -100000 QUC +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -24.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -25.1 (-7.1) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -25.0 (-7.0) | 147.9 (-5.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -22.2 (-4.2) | 147.9 (-5.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -22.3 (-4.3) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#28) | -6.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#23) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.58 (#12) | -0.84 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#61) | 0.476 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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