Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -3000 CHST +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -25.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -22.0 (+2.0) | 149.4 (-11.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -21.1 (+2.9) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -19.8 (+4.2) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -18.2 (+5.8) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | CSUN 74 – 64 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 3-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#106) | -17.5 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#112) | -3.25 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#122) | -4.46 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#155) | 0.410 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.1% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.