Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +100 CSUN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -2.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -1.8 (-11.8) | 141.1 (-3.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -1.3 (-11.3) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -1.6 (-11.6) | 139.0 (-1.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -1.5 (-8.5) | 141.1 (-3.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | CSUN 81 – 57 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#257) | 4.0 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#196) | 1.10 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#193) | 1.38 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#220) | 0.550 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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