Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PRES -200 MAN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -5.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -4.9 (-9.9) | 146.7 (+20.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -5.2 (-10.2) | 145.6 (+21.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -5.2 (-10.2) | 146.4 (+20.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -5.2 (-10.2) | 146.3 (+20.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | MAN 87 – 81 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#214) | -4.5 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#215) | -0.51 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#224) | -1.16 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#277) | 0.464 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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