Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -260 GASO +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -10.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -8.7 (+13.3) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -9.3 (+12.7) | 144.3 (-0.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -8.6 (+13.4) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -8.3 (+13.7) | 146.1 (-2.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | TXST 77 – 71 GASO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GASO 84 – 76 TXST |
| Jan 27, 2023 | TXST 70 – 67 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#133) | -4.5 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#118) | 0.34 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#132) | -0.25 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#110) | 0.520 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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