Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -192 TXST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | GASO -4.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -2.9 (-8.9) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -3.1 (-9.1) | 146.1 (+1.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -3.1 (-9.1) | 146.0 (+2.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -2.9 (-8.9) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | TXST 83 – 61 GASO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GASO 84 – 76 TXST |
| Jan 27, 2023 | TXST 70 – 67 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#265) | -7.9 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#222) | -0.73 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#256) | -1.14 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#263) | 0.446 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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